Following a weekend in which RCD Mallorca didn’t play but picked up three points, there are nine games remaining in the regular league season. What better time to look at how our opponents did, how the league table stands, look ahead to the run in and the road to promotion.
The Weekend’s Results
The weekend’s results were kind to RCD Mallorca once more and there is a growing sense that as teams crumple around them that they must take this opportunity.
Race for the Top Two
The Race for the top two seems to be down to three teams, with Osasuna, Granada and Albacete chasing two places. Osasuna’s unexpected draw this weekend away to Lugo meant that Granada and Albacete’s wins decreased the gap to the top. At the same time, Granada’s win over Malaga was against their closest rivals in the table, thus in creasing the gap to 4th position to six points from second position. These three sides seem to be cut adrift now and will take some chasing.
Race for the Top 6
All of the top six are mathematically within reach, however, the likelihood is that the top three will not be caught. That leaves Malaga in 4th all the way down to CF Elche in 11th chasing a top six spot.
This weekend saw defeats for Malaga and Deportivo La Coruna, further strengthening the case of the sides below. Cadiz also dropped points in the Monday night game, drawing 3-3 against Real Zaragoza, put to the sword by RCD Mallorca just a couple of weeks ago.
The form side at the moment are Sporting Gijon with 5 wins and a draw in their last 6 games which has catapulted them up the table from mid table obscurity right into contention. They are due to visit Son Moix at the beginning of May and still have a guaranteed 3 points to add to their tally for their game against Reus.
Real Oviedo and Almeria are starting to both disappear from trace, drawing and losing this weekend and their recent form shows that they are struggling to put two results together.
With an outside chance of the top six is Elche. Having performed so well at Son Moix, they have continued to improve since then and currently are on a run of 4 wins in a row, and 5 wins in 6 games. They sit 9 points behind RCD Mallorca and would be relying on teams above them dropping points to sneak in. With nine games to go, there is still hope for them.
RCD Mallorca – The Run In
Ironically RCD Mallorca may have to rely more on their away form than home with some more straight forward away games to come and difficult home fixtures. However, nothing is easy away from home as shown they showed vs Cordoba.
Granada and Sporting Gijon are tough home games for Mallorca and they are also due to play Almeria who, whilst falling away from the top six, will not be easy. I would accept 6 points from those three home games if offered them now. Real Majadahonda at home is must win and anything less than 3 points would be a bitter blow.
There are 3 away games where RCD Mallorca stand a chance and need to target maximum points, namely at Numancia, Gimnastic and Extremadura on the final day who may be relegated by then.
The Contenders and their Run Ins
Current Position: 4th
Malaga have only 2 wins in 11, not including the automatic 3 points vs Reus. Six of their remaining games are against teams going for top six, although one of those is against Elche on the final day who stand the most outside chance of them all. They will need to turn their current run around if they are to maintain a tope six place.
Deportivo La Coruña
Current Position: 5th
Only one win in 8 games, this is another side feeling the promotion pressure. They play 4 teams aiming for top six between now and the end of the season but play 3 sides who are mid-table with not much to play for.
Current Position: 7th
Mallorca’s closest rivals for 6th have a more straight forward looking final 9 games, although 4 of their last 5 games are against either potential play off sides or relegation threatened sides. They will hope to add to their tally by enough before reaching the final 5 games. However, their current form will leave them very concerned that they won’t be able to take advantage of this favourable run of fixtures.
Current Position: 8th
5 wins and a draw in their last 6, this side is on fire. They finish the season with two home games and three free points due to the game vs Reus. If they can keep pace in the next few games then they may make a late surge for the top six.
Current Position: 9th
In a difficult moment and struggling for form, Oviedo will be delighted that next weekend they are due to play Reus.
In their run in they face a mixture of teams facing relegation, promotion and mid-table. Their home fixtures vs are very winnable so they may yet make a late surge.
Current Position: 10th
Currently 8 points off the play offs, I expect this to be too much ground to make up, especially as they are not in good form currently. However, they have a run of games against a series of mid table sides. They will need to rely on results going for them above them.
Current Position: 11th
On the absolute outside edge of what is possible, 9 points behind the top 6. They will need to have a close to unbeaten run if they are to achieve a top six place as there are so many teams between them and the top six who need to fall away. Sometimes though teams thrive under pressure.
Current Position: 12th
Alcoron were racing away before Christmas and have dropped like a stone since winning only once since Christmas. They are still to play Reus, but turning such a barren run around is near impossible and I don´t expect they will challenge.
The Road to Promotion – How I think it´ll finish – Prediction
1st – Osasuna
2nd – Granada
3rd – Albacete Balompie
4th – Malaga
5th – Deportivo La Coruña
6th – Sporting Gijon
7th – RCD Mallorca
8th – Cadiz
8th – Real Oviedo
9th – Elche CF
Use the comments box below to post up your predicted top six and we will revisit them at the end of the season.